
So a recent moneynews.com e-mail says that this graph is evidence that when this Consumer Expectations Index goes down, so goes the stock market. Hmmm... Is that true? Look at the trend from 1984 through 1988 and you see that the index goes from a high near 99 to a low of 70. What did the S&P 500 do? Went up from a low of about 200 to about 500. And the real point of all of this is that the long-term trend is up. Would we ever see the S&P 500 at 200 again?